NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU BYU
Points 80.2 77.1
Total Points   157.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 32.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 12.6
Shooting ISU BYU
Field Goals Made 27.5 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 56.9
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 17.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.8%
Ball Control ISU BYU
Rebounds 32.4 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.5
Turnovers 10.8 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.8
Steals 7.8 7.1
Fouls 15.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU BYU
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 68.4
% of Possessions with ISU BYU
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 33.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 34.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.0%
Turnover 14.9% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU BYU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 28.9%