NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU BYU
Points 79.3 75.4
Total Points   154.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 25.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.9
Shooting ISU BYU
Field Goals Made 28.1 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 58.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 17.4
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.4%
Ball Control ISU BYU
Rebounds 34.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.1
Turnovers 8.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.1
Steals 7.1 6.1
Fouls 15.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU BYU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 69.2
% of Possessions with ISU BYU
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 32.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.8%
Turnover 12.2% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU BYU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 30.1%