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Iowa St at Iowa
Thu Dec 8, 2022
8:00pm ET
Iowa City, IA
Iowa St at Iowa: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Iowa by 3.5, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ISU | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 25-11-1 | 13-20-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-1 | 7-13-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 14-4-0 | 7-10-1 | |
| Away | 11-7-1 | 6-10-0 |
Iowa St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -28.5 | W by 41 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Lindenwood | -32.5 | W by 55 | +22.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Idaho St | -27.0 | W by 31 | +4.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Grambling St | -27.5 | W by 55 | +27.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | VCU | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | VA Tech | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | DePaul | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Iowa | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Prairie View | -27.5 | W by 51 | +23.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Florida A&M | -36.0 | W by 38 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Illinois | -31.5 | W by 32 | +0.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | N Hampshire | -28.0 | W by 15 | -13.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Oklahoma St | -12.5 | W by 24 | +11.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | BYU | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX Christian | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Kansas St | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Baylor | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Texas | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | TX Christian | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Cincinnati | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas Tech | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Houston | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Virginia | -18.0 | W by 7 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oklahoma | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | BYU | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Kansas St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kansas St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Houston | +5.5 | W by 28 | +33.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Wash State | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Illinois | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | North Dakota | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Alabama St | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Creighton | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Arkansas St | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | N Florida | -26.5 | W by 25 | -1.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.0 | W by 36 | +12.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland BC | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Illinois | -18.0 | W by 29 | +11.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Rutgers | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Ohio St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wisconsin | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Michigan St | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Illinois | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Penn St | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Illinois | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Kansas St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| IOWA -3.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3251 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Iowa won the game 2004 times (61.6%).
- The team like Iowa State won the game 1247 times (38.4%).
- The team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 1611-1586-54 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 267 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 143-118-6 (54.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -5.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/08 07:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/08 07:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/08 06:34 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/08 06:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 02:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:37 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:34 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:19 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:25 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/08 09:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:07 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:40 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:37 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/08 08:07 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/08 06:10 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:43 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:19 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:25 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:04 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/07 08:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 07:34 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 03:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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