NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU WVU
Points 78.7 62.9
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 26.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 22.4
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.9
Shooting ISU WVU
Field Goals Made 28.3 20.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 49.2
Field Goal % 46.9% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.8
Free Throw % 70.8% 70.4%
Ball Control ISU WVU
Rebounds 34.1 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.0
Turnovers 8.3 15.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.9
Steals 10.3 3.8
Fouls 16.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU WVU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 61.6
% of Possessions with ISU WVU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 33.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.1%
Turnover 11.9% 22.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 14.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU WVU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 25.5%