NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU TTU
Points 74.0 67.0
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 27.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 25.5
Points From Free Throws 11.8 14.3
Shooting ISU TTU
Field Goals Made 27.7 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 52.4
Field Goal % 46.4% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 26.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 11.8 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 18.2
Free Throw % 70.4% 78.5%
Ball Control ISU TTU
Rebounds 33.8 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.7
Turnovers 8.8 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.3
Steals 7.6 4.9
Fouls 14.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU TTU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 64.1
% of Possessions with ISU TTU
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 33.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 33.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.4%
Turnover 12.9% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU TTU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 30.2%