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Iowa St at Missouri
Sat Jan 28, 2023
2:00pm ET
Columbia, MO
Iowa St at Missouri: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Pick'em (0), Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ISU | adv | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 25-11-1 | 9-23-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-1 | 5-14-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 14-4-0 | 3-14-0 | |
| Away | 11-7-1 | 6-9-0 |
Iowa St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -28.5 | W by 41 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Lindenwood | -32.5 | W by 55 | +22.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Idaho St | -27.0 | W by 31 | +4.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Grambling St | -27.5 | W by 55 | +27.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | VCU | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | VA Tech | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | DePaul | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Iowa | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Prairie View | -27.5 | W by 51 | +23.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Florida A&M | -36.0 | W by 38 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Illinois | -31.5 | W by 32 | +0.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | N Hampshire | -28.0 | W by 15 | -13.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Oklahoma St | -12.5 | W by 24 | +11.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | BYU | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX Christian | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Kansas St | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Baylor | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Texas | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | TX Christian | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Cincinnati | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas Tech | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Houston | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Virginia | -18.0 | W by 7 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oklahoma | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | BYU | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Kansas St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kansas St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Houston | +5.5 | W by 28 | +33.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Wash State | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Illinois | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
Missouri Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Memphis | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | SIU Edward | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Jackson St | -22.5 | L by 1 | -23.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Car State | -24.5 | W by 23 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Loyola-MD | -19.5 | W by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Wichita St | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Kansas | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Illinois | +6.5 | L by 24 | -17.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Central Ark | -21.5 | W by 33 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kentucky | +11.5 | L by 13 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Alabama | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Florida | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Texas A&M | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Arkansas | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Vanderbilt | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Texas A&M | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Miss State | +7.5 | L by 24 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mississippi | +11.5 | L by 3 | +8.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Arkansas | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Auburn | +11.5 | L by 27 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | LSU | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Georgia | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| ISU -1.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1209 games where the closing line favored the home team by -1 to 1 points. In these games:
- The team like Missouri won the game 596 times (49.3%).
- The team like Iowa State won the game 613 times (50.7%).
- The team like Iowa State did better against the spread, going 600-580-29 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1955 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 990-929-36 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 02:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/28 01:53 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:08 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:53 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:23 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:04 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/28 10:50 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:52 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/27 06:46 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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