NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU GRC
Points 47.4 84.3
Total Points   131.7
Points From 2-Pointers 24.9 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 23.4
Points From Free Throws 11.0 25.3
Shooting MVSU GRC
Field Goals Made 16.3 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 50.8
Field Goal % 31.1% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 12.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 32.3% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 13.8 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 11.0 25.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 33.4
Free Throw % 66.0% 76.0%
Ball Control MVSU GRC
Rebounds 25.9 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 17.5 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.7
Turnovers 15.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 5.1
Steals 5.6 9.3
Fouls 18.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU GRC
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 71.9
% of Possessions with MVSU GRC
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.2% 24.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 26.3%
Turnover 22.5% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 13.4% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU GRC
Shot Blocked 10.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 42.0%