NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU LT
Points 48.1 80.1
Total Points   128.1
Points From 2-Pointers 24.1 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 13.4 22.6
Points From Free Throws 10.5 20.3
Shooting MVSU LT
Field Goals Made 16.5 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 52.4
Field Goal % 31.5% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.0 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 32.3% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 10.5 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 28.8
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.3%
Ball Control MVSU LT
Rebounds 25.8 44.0
Rebounds - Defensive 18.2 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 13.2
Turnovers 13.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.9
Steals 6.2 8.1
Fouls 16.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU LT
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 61.9 70.8
% of Possessions with MVSU LT
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 22.4%
Player Fouled 19.9% 24.6%
Turnover 20.1% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU LT
Shot Blocked 9.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 42.2%