NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU WYO
Points 55.1 81.3
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 25.1
Points From Free Throws 9.3 20.4
Shooting MVSU WYO
Field Goals Made 20.5 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 50.4
Field Goal % 37.6% 52.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 42.1%
Free Throws Made 9.3 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 27.1
Free Throw % 66.0% 75.2%
Ball Control MVSU WYO
Rebounds 26.9 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.5 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.5
Turnovers 12.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.3
Steals 7.1 6.2
Fouls 18.2 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Miss Val St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU WYO
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 67.0
% of Possessions with MVSU WYO
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 25.3%
Player Fouled 19.2% 26.8%
Turnover 18.7% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU WYO
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 33.9%