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Miss Val St at Southern
Mon Jan 18, 2021
5:30pm ET
Baton Rouge, LA
Miss Val St at Southern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern by 23, Total Points: 142.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MVSU | adv | SOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-17-0 | 14-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-8-0 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Away | 10-12-0 | 7-12-0 |
Miss Val St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | LSU | +28.5 | L by 46 | -17.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Oklahoma | +36.0 | L by 39 | -3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Connecticut | +45.5 | L by 34 | +11.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | TX Christian | +40.5 | L by 34 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Santa Clara | +25.5 | L by 42 | -16.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Cal St Nrdge | +15.5 | L by 36 | -20.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Pacific | +20.5 | L by 3 | +17.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | North Texas | +28.5 | L by 31 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Liberty | +30.5 | L by 35 | -4.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Gonzaga | +41.5 | L by 38 | +3.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Tulsa | +25.0 | L by 29 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Baylor | +40.5 | L by 59 | -18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | San Francisco | +34.5 | L by 50 | -15.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Alabama St | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Alab A&M | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Prairie View | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | TX Southern | +15.5 | L by 32 | -16.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Beth-Cook | +8.0 | L by 16 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Florida A&M | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Grambling St | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Southern | +19.5 | L by 24 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | +9.5 | L by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Jackson St | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Alcorn St | +10.0 | L by 17 | -7.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Alab A&M | +11.5 | L by 23 | -11.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Alabama St | +15.5 | L by 15 | +0.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | TX Southern | +12.0 | L by 21 | -9.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Prairie View | +9.0 | W by 6 | +15.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Ark Pine Bl | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Alcorn St | +18.0 | L by 7 | +11.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Jackson St | +15.5 | L by 1 | +14.5 |
Southern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | TX Christian | +27.5 | L by 33 | -5.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | UNLV | +20.5 | W by 14 | +34.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Arizona | +31.0 | L by 38 | -7.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | W Illinois | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Illinois | +25.0 | L by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Valparaiso | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Marquette | +32.0 | L by 37 | -5.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Miss State | +26.0 | W by 1 | +27.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | SE Louisiana | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Champion Baptist | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | Tulane | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Wiley | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/31 | Home | Ecclesia College | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 01/06 | Home | TX Southern | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Prairie View | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida A&M | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Beth-Cook | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Grambling St | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Miss Val St | -19.5 | W by 24 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alcorn St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Jackson St | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alab A&M | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Alabama St | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Prairie View | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | TX Southern | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Grambling St | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Beth-Cook | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Florida A&M | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Alabama St | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alab A&M | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Beth-Cook | -5.5 | L by 15 | -20.5 |
| SOU -23.0 | Open | -22.5 | High | -23.0 |
| Last | -22.5 | Low | -22.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 355 games where the closing line favored the home team by 21.5 to 23.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern won the game 349 times (98.3%).
- The team like Mississippi Valley State won the game 6 times (1.7%).
- The team like Mississippi Valley State did better against the spread, going 184-164-7 (52.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 53 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern did better against the spread, going 33-20 (62.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/18 05:29 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:20 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:47 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:56 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:17 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:44 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:20 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:59 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:14 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:41 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:53 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:05 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:44 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:26 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:47 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:59 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:08 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
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