NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU UNT
Points 47.9 79.4
Total Points   127.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.2 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 26.9
Points From Free Throws 10.5 16.9
Shooting MVSU UNT
Field Goals Made 16.6 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 48.1 53.0
Field Goal % 34.6% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 36.7% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.8 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 42.8%
Free Throws Made 10.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 22.4
Free Throw % 66.0% 75.1%
Ball Control MVSU UNT
Rebounds 26.0 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 17.9 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.6
Turnovers 14.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.4
Steals 5.8 8.4
Fouls 14.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU UNT
Total Possessions 65.0
Effective Scoring Chances 58.3 67.2
% of Possessions with MVSU UNT
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 27.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 22.2%
Turnover 22.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU UNT
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 39.3%