NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU PV
Points 59.4 70.6
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 12.7 13.0
Points From Free Throws 14.1 17.7
Shooting MVSU PV
Field Goals Made 20.5 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 47.0 53.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 12.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 25.1
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.5%
Ball Control MVSU PV
Rebounds 32.8 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.2
Turnovers 18.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 6.3 9.9
Fouls 17.3 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU PV
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 61.2 68.6
% of Possessions with MVSU PV
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 16.4% 15.8%
Player Fouled 23.9% 24.6%
Turnover 25.8% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 14.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU PV
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 27.9%