NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU JKST
Points 58.5 75.1
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 20.8
Points From Free Throws 11.2 16.7
Shooting MVSU JKST
Field Goals Made 20.9 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 57.1
Field Goal % 39.8% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 11.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 23.2
Free Throw % 66.0% 71.9%
Ball Control MVSU JKST
Rebounds 30.6 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 13.6
Turnovers 14.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 6.2 8.5
Fouls 14.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU JKST
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 72.1
% of Possessions with MVSU JKST
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 22.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.8%
Turnover 21.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU JKST
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 38.8%