NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAKE ND
Points 73.2 63.6
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 22.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 11.9
Shooting WAKE ND
Field Goals Made 26.2 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 54.8
Field Goal % 46.7% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 16.1
Free Throw % 79.2% 73.7%
Ball Control WAKE ND
Rebounds 34.0 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.0
Turnovers 8.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.3
Steals 5.8 5.0
Fouls 13.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAKE ND
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 64.2
% of Possessions with WAKE ND
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.3%
Turnover 12.7% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAKE ND
Shot Blocked 4.2% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 23.2%