NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAKE SYR
Points 79.6 73.1
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 19.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 14.5
Shooting WAKE SYR
Field Goals Made 29.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 57.0
Field Goal % 49.7% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.8 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 19.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 72.8%
Ball Control WAKE SYR
Rebounds 35.8 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 6.5
Turnovers 12.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 5.5 7.7
Fouls 14.4 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAKE SYR
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 68.5
% of Possessions with WAKE SYR
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 22.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.9%
Turnover 17.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAKE SYR
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 19.2%