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Wake Forest at Pittsburgh
Tue Mar 2, 2021
6:00pm ET
Pittsburgh, PA
Wake Forest at Pittsburgh: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Pittsburgh by 4.5, Total Points: 135
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WAKE | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-16-1 | 21-9-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 14-6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 8-1-1 | |
| Home | 13-5-1 | 11-6-1 | |
| Away | 5-11-0 | 10-3-2 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Elon | -19.5 | W by 23 | +3.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Utah | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Towson | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Charl South | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Florida | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rutgers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NJIT | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Delaware St | -20.0 | W by 29 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Presbyterian | -21.5 | W by 23 | +1.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Florida St | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Virginia | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | NC State | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | N Carolina | +8.0 | L by 21 | -13.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Syracuse | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | GA Tech | -5.0 | W by 29 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Virginia | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.0 | W by 33 | +27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Duke | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | GA Tech | -13.5 | L by 1 | -14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Clemson | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | App State | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Georgia | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC A&T | -23.5 | W by 48 | +24.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 29 | +11.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | -16.0 | W by 51 | +35.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Canisius | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Car State | -28.5 | W by 36 | +7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | IPFW | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Duke | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Syracuse | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | NC State | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 33 | -27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | VA Tech | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| PITT -4.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3268 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 2162 times (66.2%).
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 1106 times (33.8%).
- The team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 1647-1567-54 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 95 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 49-43-3 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/02 05:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/02 04:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 04:17 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 03/02 01:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 03/02 11:04 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/02 10:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/02 10:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 03/02 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 03/02 10:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/02 09:56 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/02 09:35 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 03/02 09:04 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/02 08:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/02 08:14 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 07:50 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:45 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/02 12:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/01 11:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:35 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/01 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/01 05:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/01 05:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 04:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/01 04:44 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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