NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAKE PITT
Points 71.7 72.8
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 27.0
Points From Free Throws 14.3 12.7
Shooting WAKE PITT
Field Goals Made 25.2 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 59.8
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 17.4
Free Throw % 79.2% 73.0%
Ball Control WAKE PITT
Rebounds 33.9 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 9.1
Turnovers 9.8 7.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.3
Steals 4.1 5.5
Fouls 14.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAKE PITT
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 70.0
% of Possessions with WAKE PITT
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 22.5% 20.4%
Turnover 14.2% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAKE PITT
Shot Blocked 7.4% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 24.9%