NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAKE UNC
Points 72.9 77.8
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.4 16.4
Shooting WAKE UNC
Field Goals Made 25.7 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 61.3
Field Goal % 43.4% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 21.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 75.4%
Ball Control WAKE UNC
Rebounds 33.3 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 10.3
Turnovers 9.4 8.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.8
Steals 4.4 5.2
Fouls 15.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAKE UNC
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 74.0
% of Possessions with WAKE UNC
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 25.4%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.4%
Turnover 12.9% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAKE UNC
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 27.7%