NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NWST LT
Points 58.9 79.5
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 19.3
Points From Free Throws 13.4 21.1
Shooting NWST LT
Field Goals Made 19.9 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 54.6
Field Goal % 34.8% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 36.8% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.4 21.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 30.0
Free Throw % 64.9% 70.3%
Ball Control NWST LT
Rebounds 29.5 44.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 14.0
Turnovers 11.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.4
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 17.9 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NWST LT
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 73.7
% of Possessions with NWST LT
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 21.9%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.2%
Turnover 16.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NWST LT
Shot Blocked 11.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 41.3%