NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NWST TCU
Points 62.1 88.9
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 48.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 19.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 21.4
Shooting NWST TCU
Field Goals Made 21.8 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 58.4
Field Goal % 39.5% 52.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 13.5 21.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 29.4
Free Throw % 64.9% 72.7%
Ball Control NWST TCU
Rebounds 26.8 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 18.0 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 14.6
Turnovers 14.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 5.6
Steals 5.5 8.5
Fouls 17.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NWST TCU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 77.1
% of Possessions with NWST TCU
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 20.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 23.7%
Turnover 20.2% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NWST TCU
Shot Blocked 9.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 44.8%