NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NWST TAMCOM
Points 71.6 70.3
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 21.7
Points From Free Throws 16.4 16.6
Shooting NWST TAMCOM
Field Goals Made 25.1 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 16.4 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 23.9
Free Throw % 64.9% 69.6%
Ball Control NWST TAMCOM
Rebounds 40.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 9.6
Turnovers 12.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.6
Steals 5.1 6.9
Fouls 15.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: NW State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NWST TAMCOM
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 72.0
% of Possessions with NWST TAMCOM
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.1% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.9%
Turnover 16.9% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NWST TAMCOM
Shot Blocked 9.8% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 25.0%