NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NWST SFA
Points 65.1 77.2
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 17.2
Points From Free Throws 16.7 22.2
Shooting NWST SFA
Field Goals Made 21.3 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 52.2
Field Goal % 41.8% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 16.7 22.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 31.6
Free Throw % 64.9% 70.3%
Ball Control NWST SFA
Rebounds 29.9 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 13.1
Turnovers 16.2 14.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.7
Steals 6.6 8.1
Fouls 20.3 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NWST SFA
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 72.7
% of Possessions with NWST SFA
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 20.6%
Player Fouled 25.0% 27.6%
Turnover 22.0% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NWST SFA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 39.3%