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NW State at New Orleans
Wed Jan 29, 2020
8:00pm ET
New Orleans, LA
NW State at New Orleans: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Orleans by 4.5, Total Points: 148.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | NORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-15-0 | 11-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 6-14-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-6-0 | 2-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 9-11-0 |
NW State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas Christian | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Tulane | +18.5 | L by 17 | +1.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Ste F Austin | +13.0 | L by 26 | -13.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Maine | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | N Florida | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Presbyterian | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Baylor | +34.0 | L by 51 | -17.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | S Mississippi | +15.0 | L by 9 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Boise St | +23.5 | L by 41 | -17.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Rice | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | LSU | +25.0 | L by 41 | -16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Lamar | +10.5 | L by 20 | -9.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | McNeese St | +19.0 | L by 9 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Incar Word | +2.5 | W by 26 | +28.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Hsn Christian | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | New Orleans | +7.0 | W by 25 | +32.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | SE Louisiana | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | McNeese St | +19.5 | L by 24 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Nicholls | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New Orleans | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Incar Word | +3.5 | W by 20 | +23.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +12.5 | L by 11 | +1.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Hsn Christian | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lamar | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Nicholls | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | TX A&M-Com | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Millsaps | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +14.5 | L by 3 | +11.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Oklahoma St | +13.5 | L by 28 | -14.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | North Dakota | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Central Ark | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 33 | -21.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Belhaven College | -- | W by 14 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | San Jose St | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | San Francisco | +20.5 | L by 13 | +7.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Bham Southern | -- | W by 40 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 42 | -18.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Ste F Austin | +14.5 | L by 29 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | SE Louisiana | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Nicholls | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | NW State | -7.0 | L by 25 | -32.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Hsn Christian | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | McNeese St | +18.5 | L by 37 | -18.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Lamar | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Incar Word | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Hsn Christian | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | NW State | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Lamar | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/19 | Home | Nicholls | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | SE Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Incar Word | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | McNeese St | +16.5 | L by 24 | -7.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | SE Louisiana | +5.5 | W by 12 | +17.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Lamar | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| NORL -4.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3022 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like New Orleans won the game 2000 times (66.2%).
- The team like Northwestern St. won the game 1022 times (33.8%).
- The team like New Orleans did better against the spread, going 1525-1449-48 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1853 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern St. did better against the spread, going 913-900-40 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/29 05:28 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 04:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 03:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 02:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 01:24 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 08:22 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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