NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NWST OKLA
Points 61.0 84.4
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 21.4
Points From Free Throws 12.4 21.5
Shooting NWST OKLA
Field Goals Made 21.9 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 53.1
Field Goal % 38.3% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 64.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 26.8% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 12.4 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 29.2
Free Throw % 64.9% 73.5%
Ball Control NWST OKLA
Rebounds 27.2 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.6 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 11.1
Turnovers 11.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.3
Steals 6.1 5.6
Fouls 18.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: NW State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NWST OKLA
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 71.3
% of Possessions with NWST OKLA
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 25.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 26.1%
Turnover 16.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NWST OKLA
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 37.4%