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NW State at LSU
Sun Dec 8, 2019
4:00pm ET
Baton Rouge, LA
NW State at LSU: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisiana State by 30.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-15-0 | 13-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-6-0 | 6-12-0 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 7-8-0 |
NW State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas Christian | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Tulane | +18.5 | L by 17 | +1.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Ste F Austin | +13.0 | L by 26 | -13.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Maine | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | N Florida | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Presbyterian | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Baylor | +34.0 | L by 51 | -17.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | S Mississippi | +15.0 | L by 9 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Boise St | +23.5 | L by 41 | -17.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Rice | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | LSU | +25.0 | L by 41 | -16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Lamar | +10.5 | L by 20 | -9.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | McNeese St | +19.0 | L by 9 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Incar Word | +2.5 | W by 26 | +28.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Hsn Christian | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | New Orleans | +7.0 | W by 25 | +32.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | SE Louisiana | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | McNeese St | +19.5 | L by 24 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Nicholls | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New Orleans | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Incar Word | +3.5 | W by 20 | +23.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +12.5 | L by 11 | +1.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Hsn Christian | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lamar | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Nicholls | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | TX A&M-Com | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | L by 2 | -21.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Dayton | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Florida | -22.0 | W by 12 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | L by 23 | -21.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SE Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Alabama St | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lamar | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NW State | -25.0 | W by 41 | +16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 15 | +26.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Auburn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee | +14.0 | L by 20 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Florida | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Kentucky | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vanderbilt | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Arkansas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miss State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | North Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| LSU -30.5 | Open | -29.5 | High | -30.5 |
| Last | -29.5 | Low | -29.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 79 games where the closing line favored the home team by 30 to 32 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 79 times (100.0%).
- The team like Northwestern St. won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 44-35 (55.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1625 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern St. did better against the spread, going 799-792-34 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -31.0 | -30.5 | -- |
| Open | -30.5 | -30.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/08 03:52 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:14 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:26 PM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 12/08 12:52 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:25 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
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