NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC UGA
Points 66.9 79.0
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 25.2
Points From Free Throws 11.9 18.2
Shooting JAC UGA
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 53.7
Field Goal % 40.1% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 11.9 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 25.5
Free Throw % 69.8% 71.6%
Ball Control JAC UGA
Rebounds 35.2 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.5
Turnovers 11.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 6.2 6.5
Fouls 18.8 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC UGA
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 69.2
% of Possessions with JAC UGA
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.1% 26.4%
Turnover 16.4% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC UGA
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 26.7%