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Jacksonville at Liberty
Tue Jan 18, 2022
7:00pm ET
Lynchburg, VA
Jacksonville at Liberty: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 9.5, Total Points: 121.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | JAC | adv | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-16-0 | 12-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 4-13-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-4-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-12-0 | 5-12-0 |
Jacksonville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Christian College | -- | W by 67 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Xavier | +15.5 | L by 23 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | GA Southern | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +16.0 | L by 51 | -35.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Rob Morris | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | F Dickinson | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Campbell | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Southern | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | UCF | +14.5 | L by 42 | -27.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | S Car State | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Trinity Baptist | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 12/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Purdue | +32.5 | L by 43 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Erskine | -- | W by 27 | -- |
| 01/04 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Stetson | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | N Florida | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Queens | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Kennesaw St | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | E Kentucky | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Bellarmine | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Austin Peay | +3.0 | W by 20 | +23.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Lipscomb | +11.5 | L by 2 | +9.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Central Ark | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Alabama | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Kennesaw St | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Queens | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | N Florida | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Stetson | +1.0 | L by 13 | -12.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Kennesaw St | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | E Kentucky | +8.5 | W by 2 | +10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Stetson | +6.5 | L by 1 | +5.5 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| LIB -9.5 | Open | -10.0 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2196 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 1827 times (83.2%).
- The team like Jacksonville won the game 369 times (16.8%).
- The team like Jacksonville did better against the spread, going 1089-1074-33 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4669 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Jacksonville did better against the spread, going 2304-2273-92 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/18 06:25 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:19 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:13 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:31 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:28 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:07 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:13 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:31 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:07 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:25 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:46 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:34 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:01 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:34 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
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