NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LEM MERC
Points 65.9 68.5
Total Points   134.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 20.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 11.2
Shooting LEM MERC
Field Goals Made 21.3 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 47.9 60.4
Field Goal % 44.4% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 14.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.4%
Ball Control LEM MERC
Rebounds 35.1 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 8.8
Turnovers 12.6 7.7
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.2
Steals 4.2 7.5
Fouls 13.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Le Moyne

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LEM MERC
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.6 69.6
% of Possessions with LEM MERC
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 26.1%
Player Fouled 25.3% 20.3%
Turnover 18.3% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LEM MERC
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 23.7%