NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC UNF
Points 72.2 74.8
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 26.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 34.1
Points From Free Throws 15.6 14.8
Shooting JAC UNF
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 53.6
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 13.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 23.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.6 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 19.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 77.2%
Ball Control JAC UNF
Rebounds 38.8 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 7.0
Turnovers 9.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 7.0 5.1
Fouls 15.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC UNF
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 65.4
% of Possessions with JAC UNF
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 30.3%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 39.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.8%
Turnover 14.0% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC UNF
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 21.9%