NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC KENN
Points 77.3 77.9
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 25.0
Points From Free Throws 20.3 17.2
Shooting JAC KENN
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 56.9
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 20.3 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 29.1 25.6
Free Throw % 69.8% 67.1%
Ball Control JAC KENN
Rebounds 38.9 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.7
Turnovers 12.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.9
Steals 6.9 6.6
Fouls 19.7 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC KENN
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 72.5
% of Possessions with JAC KENN
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 29.6%
Player Fouled 24.9% 26.6%
Turnover 16.7% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC KENN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.7% 27.3%