NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF GONZ
Points 70.1 76.7
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 42.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 18.9
Points From Free Throws 9.2 15.5
Shooting SF GONZ
Field Goals Made 26.3 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 55.5
Field Goal % 42.5% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 9.2 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.4 21.0
Free Throw % 74.2% 73.6%
Ball Control SF GONZ
Rebounds 32.9 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.4
Turnovers 10.0 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.4
Steals 5.9 5.3
Fouls 16.3 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF GONZ
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 68.3
% of Possessions with SF GONZ
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 21.4%
Player Fouled 17.7% 23.4%
Turnover 14.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF GONZ
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 26.8%