NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF BYU
Points 70.3 75.8
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 31.3
Points From Free Throws 10.6 14.4
Shooting SF BYU
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 57.2
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 10.6 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 19.8
Free Throw % 74.2% 72.5%
Ball Control SF BYU
Rebounds 33.3 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.7
Turnovers 10.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.9
Steals 6.2 4.7
Fouls 15.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF BYU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 69.4
% of Possessions with SF BYU
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 35.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.4%
Turnover 14.6% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF BYU
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 25.0%