NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF LMU
Points 76.0 64.2
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 43.7 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 22.2
Points From Free Throws 10.1 13.2
Shooting SF LMU
Field Goals Made 29.3 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 53.4
Field Goal % 48.5% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.8 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 10.1 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 17.9
Free Throw % 74.2% 73.7%
Ball Control SF LMU
Rebounds 34.9 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.8
Turnovers 7.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 1.7
Steals 6.2 2.8
Fouls 15.0 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF LMU
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 63.8
% of Possessions with SF LMU
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 27.3%
Player Fouled 19.2% 22.4%
Turnover 10.7% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 4.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF LMU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 23.1%