NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF CP
Points 77.4 56.4
Total Points   133.7
Points From 2-Pointers 43.5 25.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 17.4
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.6
Shooting SF CP
Field Goals Made 28.5 18.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 50.2
Field Goal % 49.5% 36.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.8 12.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 38.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 19.2
Free Throw % 74.2% 70.9%
Ball Control SF CP
Rebounds 39.5 26.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 6.1
Turnovers 10.4 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.9
Steals 7.8 4.2
Fouls 17.1 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF CP
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 61.5
% of Possessions with SF CP
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 22.9%
Player Fouled 21.9% 24.8%
Turnover 15.1% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF CP
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.6% 17.6%