NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF URI
Points 81.0 65.6
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 18.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 17.0
Shooting SF URI
Field Goals Made 30.6 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 49.3
Field Goal % 49.2% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 10.8 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 25.8
Free Throw % 74.2% 66.1%
Ball Control SF URI
Rebounds 35.4 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.1
Turnovers 8.4 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 1.5
Steals 7.8 3.8
Fouls 18.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF URI
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 64.2
% of Possessions with SF URI
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 22.2%
Player Fouled 19.7% 26.5%
Turnover 12.0% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF URI
Shot Blocked 3.2% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 21.6%