NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF PAC
Points 85.1 58.2
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 26.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 16.8
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.3
Shooting SF PAC
Field Goals Made 31.4 18.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 48.4
Field Goal % 52.9% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 13.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 66.4% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 23.5
Free Throw % 74.2% 65.1%
Ball Control SF PAC
Rebounds 40.1 24.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 20.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 4.7
Turnovers 9.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 1.2
Steals 7.4 4.4
Fouls 19.2 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF PAC
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 61.9
% of Possessions with SF PAC
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 23.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 27.5%
Turnover 13.8% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF PAC
Shot Blocked 2.6% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 13.8%