NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF USD
Points 78.2 63.6
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 28.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 19.3
Points From Free Throws 14.0 16.1
Shooting SF USD
Field Goals Made 28.0 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 51.7
Field Goal % 48.0% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 14.0 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 22.3
Free Throw % 74.2% 72.1%
Ball Control SF USD
Rebounds 37.1 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.2
Turnovers 11.9 14.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.2
Steals 9.0 6.0
Fouls 16.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF USD
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 65.1
% of Possessions with SF USD
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 22.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.1%
Turnover 16.5% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF USD
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 21.1%