NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SF NEV
Points 66.5 68.0
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 29.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 18.7
Points From Free Throws 11.4 20.2
Shooting SF NEV
Field Goals Made 23.8 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 46.7
Field Goal % 42.2% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 11.4 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 28.4
Free Throw % 74.2% 71.2%
Ball Control SF NEV
Rebounds 33.3 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.5
Turnovers 11.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.0
Steals 6.0 5.3
Fouls 21.9 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SF NEV
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 63.7
% of Possessions with SF NEV
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 21.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 32.0%
Turnover 16.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SF NEV
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 21.2%