NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX DEL
Points 71.3 68.2
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 16.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 11.4
Shooting DREX DEL
Field Goals Made 27.0 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 57.8
Field Goal % 45.3% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 11.6 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 16.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.4%
Ball Control DREX DEL
Rebounds 37.4 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.1
Turnovers 8.3 8.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.9
Steals 4.8 4.1
Fouls 13.8 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX DEL
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 66.6
% of Possessions with DREX DEL
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 24.1%
Player Fouled 19.3% 20.4%
Turnover 12.3% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX DEL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 20.8%