NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX COFC
Points 72.5 75.7
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 26.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 11.6
Shooting DREX COFC
Field Goals Made 26.8 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 64.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 16.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.3%
Ball Control DREX COFC
Rebounds 37.1 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.8
Turnovers 9.6 7.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.4
Steals 4.3 4.9
Fouls 13.6 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX COFC
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 73.4
% of Possessions with DREX COFC
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 32.1%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.5%
Turnover 13.7% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX COFC
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 28.0%