NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX JMU
Points 68.8 75.8
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 21.0
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.0
Shooting DREX JMU
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 61.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 18.6
Free Throw % 71.0% 69.7%
Ball Control DREX JMU
Rebounds 37.0 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.2
Turnovers 11.5 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 4.1 6.6
Fouls 14.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX JMU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 71.9
% of Possessions with DREX JMU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 25.6%
Player Fouled 22.5% 20.4%
Turnover 16.3% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX JMU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 25.4%