NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX ALBY
Points 70.0 61.3
Total Points   131.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 17.3
Points From Free Throws 9.9 9.3
Shooting DREX ALBY
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.7
Field Goal % 44.9% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 9.9 9.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 14.5
Free Throw % 59.2% 63.8%
Ball Control DREX ALBY
Rebounds 36.8 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.5
Turnovers 9.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.4
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 12.2 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX ALBY
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 64.7
% of Possessions with DREX ALBY
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.9% 18.6%
Turnover 14.4% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX ALBY
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 26.8%