NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX ALBY
Points 75.3 67.5
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 47.1 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 17.2
Points From Free Throws 9.4 12.4
Shooting DREX ALBY
Field Goals Made 29.8 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 62.1
Field Goal % 52.9% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 23.6 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 61.2% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 27.9%
Free Throws Made 9.4 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 17.0
Free Throw % 65.6% 73.3%
Ball Control DREX ALBY
Rebounds 38.3 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 19.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.9
Turnovers 12.9 8.6
Blocked Shots 6.6 1.6
Steals 4.4 7.5
Fouls 12.9 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX ALBY
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 71.3
% of Possessions with DREX ALBY
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 25.0%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.7%
Turnover 18.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX ALBY
Shot Blocked 2.7% 11.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 28.0%