NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX SFA
Points 71.6 68.4
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 16.3
Points From Free Throws 16.7 15.1
Shooting DREX SFA
Field Goals Made 24.1 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 57.4
Field Goal % 46.0% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 16.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 21.4
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.3%
Ball Control DREX SFA
Rebounds 36.9 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.1
Turnovers 13.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.0
Steals 5.1 6.5
Fouls 17.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX SFA
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 70.3
% of Possessions with DREX SFA
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 21.2%
Player Fouled 25.1% 24.5%
Turnover 19.0% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX SFA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 27.5%