NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX PITT
Points 63.0 74.9
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 25.0
Points From Free Throws 11.7 12.3
Shooting DREX PITT
Field Goals Made 22.8 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 60.7
Field Goal % 40.8% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 11.7 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 16.9
Free Throw % 71.0% 73.0%
Ball Control DREX PITT
Rebounds 35.0 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.5
Turnovers 10.0 5.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 5.2
Steals 3.1 5.2
Fouls 14.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX PITT
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 70.4
% of Possessions with DREX PITT
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 20.1% 21.5%
Turnover 15.0% 8.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX PITT
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 26.5%