NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX ELON
Points 77.5 65.1
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 21.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 11.6
Shooting DREX ELON
Field Goals Made 28.9 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 57.0
Field Goal % 48.6% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 12.2 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 16.9
Free Throw % 71.0% 68.8%
Ball Control DREX ELON
Rebounds 40.4 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 21.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 8.4
Turnovers 8.9 8.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.3
Steals 4.6 4.7
Fouls 14.1 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX ELON
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 66.8
% of Possessions with DREX ELON
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 29.3%
Player Fouled 20.0% 21.1%
Turnover 13.3% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX ELON
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 36.9% 23.1%