NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX UNCW
Points 71.9 72.4
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 19.0
Points From Free Throws 13.1 13.9
Shooting DREX UNCW
Field Goals Made 26.2 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 59.1
Field Goal % 46.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 13.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 18.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 77.5%
Ball Control DREX UNCW
Rebounds 36.6 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.1
Turnovers 9.6 6.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 2.9 4.6
Fouls 14.9 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX UNCW
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 69.6
% of Possessions with DREX UNCW
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 27.2%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.4%
Turnover 14.3% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 4.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX UNCW
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 25.8%