NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX CWM
Points 75.8 63.2
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 21.3
Points From Free Throws 14.3 11.1
Shooting DREX CWM
Field Goals Made 27.7 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 58.1
Field Goal % 49.7% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 14.3 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 16.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 67.7%
Ball Control DREX CWM
Rebounds 39.4 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.7
Turnovers 8.1 7.8
Blocked Shots 4.7 1.8
Steals 4.3 3.7
Fouls 14.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX CWM
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 67.2
% of Possessions with DREX CWM
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 32.1%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.1%
Turnover 12.3% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX CWM
Shot Blocked 3.3% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 22.7%