NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE UCLA
Points 69.5 65.4
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 16.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.6
Shooting ORE UCLA
Field Goals Made 23.6 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 53.8
Field Goal % 43.3% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.7
Free Throw % 72.9% 74.3%
Ball Control ORE UCLA
Rebounds 34.3 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.0
Turnovers 9.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.3
Steals 5.3 4.6
Fouls 15.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE UCLA
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 66.0
% of Possessions with ORE UCLA
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 22.0%
Player Fouled 26.1% 23.6%
Turnover 14.2% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE UCLA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 26.4%