NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE MIZZ
Points 78.3 69.8
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 21.4
Points From Free Throws 18.7 14.3
Shooting ORE MIZZ
Field Goals Made 25.9 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 56.0
Field Goal % 46.0% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 18.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 18.1
Free Throw % 72.9% 78.9%
Ball Control ORE MIZZ
Rebounds 37.7 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.7
Turnovers 10.2 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.3
Steals 6.4 5.8
Fouls 15.1 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE MIZZ
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 66.9
% of Possessions with ORE MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 26.3% 21.5%
Turnover 14.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE MIZZ
Shot Blocked 7.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 23.0%