NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE MICH
Points 79.9 70.9
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 45.5 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 23.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.6
Shooting ORE MICH
Field Goals Made 29.7 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 56.3
Field Goal % 48.6% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 19.3
Free Throw % 72.9% 70.8%
Ball Control ORE MICH
Rebounds 34.9 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.0
Turnovers 8.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.2
Steals 7.8 3.5
Fouls 15.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE MICH
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 67.9
% of Possessions with ORE MICH
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 26.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.2%
Turnover 11.5% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE MICH
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 26.2%