NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ DEP
Points 77.3 61.0
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 15.7
Points From Free Throws 11.8 14.6
Shooting DUQ DEP
Field Goals Made 28.3 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 49.7
Field Goal % 48.5% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 11.8 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 19.8
Free Throw % 73.4% 73.8%
Ball Control DUQ DEP
Rebounds 34.2 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 6.9
Turnovers 9.4 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.0 2.8
Steals 8.4 5.0
Fouls 16.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ DEP
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 61.3
% of Possessions with DUQ DEP
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 22.0%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.7%
Turnover 13.8% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ DEP
Shot Blocked 5.8% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 21.7%